tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 91%

  1. 17:50 SMF → 19:20 LAS
    WN 4116 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 LAS → 05:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 2208 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip8h 55mSMF 17:50 to BWI 05:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.