tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Myers → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 14%

  1. 17:10 RSW → 19:05 MDW
    WN 4120 · Southwest · 2h 52m · 41% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 MDW → 23:02 DCA
    WN 1172 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip5h 52mRSW 17:10 to DCA 23:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.