tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:40 MDW → 10:42 PHL
    WN 4122 · Southwest · 2h 02m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:50 PHL → 14:19 BUF
    AA 6041 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 29m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 39mMDW 07:40 to BUF 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.