tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:05 SBA → 09:20 DEN
    WN 4125 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 DEN → 11:50 PHX
    WN 706 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 47mSBA 06:05 to PHX 11:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.