tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Orlando via Islip: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:05 BWI → 17:15 ISP
    WN 4126 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Islip (ISP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 ISP → 20:55 MCO
    WN 104 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 50mBWI 16:05 to MCO 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.