tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:20 DAL → 15:45 PHX
    WN 4129 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:58 PHX → 19:55 SEA
    WN 3585 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 36mDAL 15:20 to SEA 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.