tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:30 DEN → 14:25 SEA
    WN 4130 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 37% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:56 SEA → 20:46 FAI
    AS 284 · Alaska · 3h 50m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 2 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip10h 16mDEN 12:30 to FAI 20:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.