tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:20 RNO → 19:45 LAS
    WN 4136 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LAS → 22:32 SJC
    WN 704 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 12mRNO 18:20 to SJC 22:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.