tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Kansas City via Phoenix: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:50 LAS → 15:10 PHX
    WN 4138 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 67% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 PHX → 20:35 MCI
    WN 3291 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip4h 45mLAS 13:50 to MCI 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.