tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Burbank via Las Vegas: arrives on time 44%

  1. 15:50 AUS → 16:40 LAS
    WN 4143 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 LAS → 19:05 BUR
    WN 2201 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 15mAUS 15:50 to BUR 19:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.