tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → El Paso via Las Vegas: arrives on time 23%

  1. 15:50 AUS → 16:40 LAS
    WN 4143 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAS → 20:30 ELP
    WN 4260 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 40mAUS 15:50 to ELP 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.