tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:30 SFO → 07:30 PHX
    WN 4145 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 07mSFO 05:30 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.