tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:30 SFO → 07:30 PHX
    WN 4145 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:52 PHX → 13:54 PAE
    AS 514 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 24mSFO 05:30 to PAE 13:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.