tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Monterey via Phoenix: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:30 SFO → 07:30 PHX
    WN 4145 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:04 PHX → 12:05 MRY
    AA 3720 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 35mSFO 05:30 to MRY 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.