tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Medford via Phoenix: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:30 SFO → 07:30 PHX
    WN 4145 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:11 PHX → 12:50 MFR
    AA 6253 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 39m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 20mSFO 05:30 to MFR 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.