tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Columbus via Nashville: arrives on time 16%

  1. 12:30 SAN → 18:30 BNA
    WN 4147 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 17% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 BNA → 22:00 CMH
    WN 850 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 30mSAN 12:30 to CMH 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.