tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Phoenix via Austin: arrives on time 69%

  1. 08:00 BNA → 10:10 AUS
    WN 4149 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 54m layover in Austin (AUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:04 AUS → 12:28 PHX
    AA 2042 · American · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 54m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 28mBNA 08:00 to PHX 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.