tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:35 BUF → 08:15 MDW
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 100% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 00mBUF 07:35 to MSP 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.