tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 07:35 BUF → 08:15 MDW
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 100% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 MDW → 12:45 BNA
    WN 2733 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 10mBUF 07:35 to BNA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.