tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:35 BUF → 08:15 MDW
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 100% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 10mBUF 07:35 to MSP 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.