tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:35 BUF → 08:15 MDW
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 100% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 MDW → 12:50 TPA
    WN 2907 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 15mBUF 07:35 to TPA 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.