tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:35 BUF → 08:15 MDW
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 100% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 MDW → 12:50 LGA
    WN 4044 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 75% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 15mBUF 07:35 to LGA 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.