tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 ATL
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:45 ATL → 16:14 RDU
    DL 1550 · Delta · 1h 29m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 19mMDW 08:55 to RDU 16:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.