tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 ATL
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:08 ATL → 15:31 MEM
    DL 1700 · Delta · 1h 22m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 35mMDW 08:55 to MEM 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.