tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 ATL
    WN 4154 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:15 ATL → 17:23 ROC
    DL 2047 · Delta · 2h 08m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 28mMDW 08:55 to ROC 17:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.