tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:10 SAN → 18:10 MDW
    WN 4163 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 50% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MDW → 23:40 MSY
    WN 2836 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 66% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 45mSAN 12:10 to MSY 23:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.