tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → New Orleans via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:55 STL → 12:25 DTW
    WN 4177 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:23 DTW → 15:57 MSY
    DL 1652 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 02mSTL 09:55 to MSY 15:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.