tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Burbank via Phoenix: arrives on time 59%

  1. 11:20 MDW → 12:55 PHX
    WN 4189 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:10 PHX → 15:30 BUR
    WN 1680 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 10mMDW 11:20 to BUR 15:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.