tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:00 PHL → 09:05 MDW
    WN 4202 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 MDW → 11:30 DSM
    WN 1771 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 30mPHL 08:00 to DSM 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.