tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 08:00 PHL → 09:05 MDW
    WN 4202 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 MDW → 11:30 DEN
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 30mPHL 08:00 to DEN 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.