tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Orlando via Baltimore: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:05 SDF → 18:45 BWI
    WN 4209 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 77% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 BWI → 22:15 MCO
    WN 3416 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 66% on time, 15.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (15.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 10mSDF 17:05 to MCO 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.