tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Boston via Baltimore: arrives on time 49%

  1. 17:05 SDF → 18:45 BWI
    WN 4209 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 77% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 BWI → 00:10 BOS +1 day
    WN 892 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 56% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 00mSDF 17:05 to BOS 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.