tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:55 BDL → 09:15 MDW
    WN 4212 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 82% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 50mBDL 07:55 to MSP 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.