tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Las Vegas via Sacramento: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:40 DAL → 09:15 SMF
    WN 4218 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 SMF → 12:20 LAS
    WN 1285 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 40mDAL 07:40 to LAS 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.