tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Portland via Sacramento: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:40 DAL → 09:15 SMF
    WN 4218 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:12 SMF → 11:42 PDX
    WN 949 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 02mDAL 07:40 to PDX 11:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.