tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Santa Ana via Austin: arrives on time 23%

  1. 10:10 SFO → 15:45 AUS
    WN 4227 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 AUS → 17:55 SNA
    WN 901 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip7h 45mSFO 10:10 to SNA 17:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.