tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Orlando via Los Angeles: arrives on time 59%

  1. 17:30 OAK → 18:55 LAX
    WN 4229 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 72% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 LAX → 06:00 MCO +1 day
    WN 2409 · Southwest · 4h 55m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip9h 30mOAK 17:30 to MCO 06:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.