tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Minneapolis via Las Vegas: arrives on time 97%

  1. 05:00 SFO → 06:35 LAS
    WN 4231 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:32 LAS → 14:40 MSP
    DL 2261 · Delta · 3h 08m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time97%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip7h 40mSFO 05:00 to MSP 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.