tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Bozeman via Las Vegas: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:00 SFO → 06:35 LAS
    WN 4231 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:30 LAS → 10:35 BZN
    WN 392 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 35mSFO 05:00 to BZN 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.