tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Tucson via Las Vegas: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:00 SFO → 06:35 LAS
    WN 4231 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 LAS → 09:00 TUS
    WN 519 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 00mSFO 05:00 to TUS 09:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.