tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kansas City via Los Angeles: arrives on time 4%

  1. 12:00 SFO → 13:30 LAX
    WN 4235 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 8% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 LAX → 19:40 MCI
    WN 2567 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection8%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 92% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (8%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip5h 40mSFO 12:00 to MCI 19:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.