tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Austin via Las Vegas: arrives on time 13%

  1. 17:25 MCI → 18:25 LAS
    WN 4240 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:25 LAS → 00:10 AUS +1 day
    WN 3569 · Southwest · 2h 42m · 34% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip6h 42mMCI 17:25 to AUS 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.