tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Baltimore via Houston: arrives on time 13%

  1. 13:55 OAK → 19:40 HOU
    WN 4244 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 HOU → 00:35 BWI +1 day
    WN 1961 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection23%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 77% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (23%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 45mOAK 13:55 to BWI 00:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.