tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Newark via Phoenix: arrives on time 79%

  1. 18:50 DAL → 19:15 PHX
    WN 4258 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 23% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:14 PHX → 06:00 EWR +1 day
    AA 2156 · American · 4h 46m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip10h 10mDAL 18:50 to EWR 06:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.