tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → San Diego via Nashville: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:30 MCI → 19:05 BNA
    WN 4269 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 BNA → 22:25 SAN
    WN 1978 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip7h 00mMCI 17:30 to SAN 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.