tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Baltimore via Nashville: arrives on time 21%

  1. 17:30 MCI → 19:05 BNA
    WN 4269 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 BNA → 23:15 BWI
    WN 468 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip4h 45mMCI 17:30 to BWI 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.