tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Las Vegas via Nashville: arrives on time 14%

  1. 17:30 MCI → 19:05 BNA
    WN 4269 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 BNA → 22:02 LAS
    WN 548 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 33mMCI 17:30 to LAS 22:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.