tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:40 BDL → 14:05 MDW
    WN 427 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:05 MDW → 18:35 MSP
    WN 4643 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 65% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 55mBDL 12:40 to MSP 18:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.