tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Dallas: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:05 SMF → 10:20 DAL
    WN 4274 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 DAL → 12:45 HOU
    WN 19 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 80% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 40mSMF 05:05 to HOU 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.