tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Denver: arrives on time 19%

  1. 10:00 SFO → 13:30 DEN
    WN 4284 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 12% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:50 DEN → 18:25 MSY
    WN 1643 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 25mSFO 10:00 to MSY 18:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.